Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MATIC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-23 0.182953 0.219690 0.259126 0.304312 0.354370 0.407853 0.469041
2025-03-02 0.120699 0.166869 0.220713 0.286914 0.364928 0.452836 0.558284
2025-03-09 0.087494 0.139082 0.204141 0.289216 0.394686 0.518550 0.672431
2025-03-16 0.059965 0.111645 0.182550 0.281163 0.409405 0.565723 0.765918
2025-03-23 0.046773 0.100346 0.179325 0.294683 0.450224 0.645018 0.899901
2025-03-30 0.033376 0.084900 0.167334 0.294205 0.471692 0.699983 1.004926
2025-04-06 0.023836 0.072762 0.157775 0.295226 0.494012 0.755731 1.111540
2025-04-13 0.017771 0.064921 0.153350 0.302584 0.524481 0.822219 1.232724
2025-04-20 0.013498 0.059128 0.151147 0.312523 0.558318 0.893463 1.360994
2025-04-27 0.010008 0.053563 0.148243 0.320646 0.589293 0.961105 1.485389
2025-05-04 0.006549 0.045962 0.140033 0.319057 0.605332 1.008171 1.582936
2025-05-11 0.004551 0.041410 0.136874 0.325257 0.632769 1.071134 1.702286
2025-05-18 0.002627 0.035180 0.129164 0.323222 0.647988 1.118118 1.802241
2025-05-25 0.001025 0.027042 0.115025 0.308063 0.641641 1.133945 1.859827
2025-06-01 0.000496 0.023762 0.111647 0.312202 0.665767 1.193757 1.978454
2025-06-08 0.000116 0.018949 0.102767 0.304722 0.670382 1.224933 2.057609
2025-06-15 0.000050 0.018183 0.105124 0.319558 0.712167 1.311384 2.214904
2025-06-22 0.000002 0.015352 0.100375 0.319398 0.728617 1.360355 2.320042
2025-06-29 NaN 0.013076 0.096560 0.320675 0.747292 1.412734 2.430413
2025-07-06 NaN 0.011832 0.095905 0.328559 0.777401 1.482668 2.566353
2025-07-13 NaN 0.010997 0.096498 0.339116 0.812296 1.560201 2.713739
2025-07-20 NaN 0.010037 0.096264 0.347724 0.843885 1.633031 2.855028
2025-07-27 NaN 0.008250 0.091742 0.346072 0.857062 1.677654 2.956097